Myanmar Crisis - Impact on India’s Security and Geopolitics



Sin
ce the military seized power in Myanmar in February 2021, the nation has been engulfed in turmoil. According to the United Nations, the upheaval has displaced more than 2.8 million people as the conflict extends through various states. As violence continues to affect civilians, the humanitarian situation worsens, casting shadows over the entire neighboring region.

MYANMAR’S GEOGRAPHICAL SIGNIFICANCE

The ongoing Myanmar conflict is more than a regional issue due to its complex geographical location. To understand it well, first, let's delve into the geographical details of Myanmar. It is strategically positioned at the crossroads of South Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Indian Ocean. Its location provides access to key maritime routes and trade corridors, making it a focal point for global powers. The conflict disrupts regional peace and stability, affecting neighboring countries. Escalating violence could strain diplomatic relations and create security challenges. But why Myanmar is facing chaos now? Let's understand the history a bit.

BACKGROUND OF THE CRISIS

Myanmar, earlier known as Burma, became independent from the UK in 1948. But since then, it has faced many problems like military rule, civil war, and poverty. In 1988, people in Myanmar protested for democracy, but the military took control again and Myanmar endured years of authoritarian rule, censorship, and human rights abuses. The military regime changed the country’s official name from Burma to Myanmar in 1989. In 2011, a nominally civilian government led by President Thein Sein began a process of partial democratization. In 2015, Myanmar held its first relatively free and fair elections, leading to the victory of Aung San Suu Kyi’s party, the National League for Democracy (NLD). Despite progress, Myanmar faced significant challenges. The Rohingya crisis escalated, leading to allegations of ethnic cleansing and international condemnation. The military retained significant power, controlling key ministries and maintaining a quarter of parliamentary seats. The economy struggled, and poverty persisted.

THE COUP AND ITS AFTERMATH

In February 2021, the military staged a coup, detaining Aung San Suu Kyi and other elected leaders. This shattered hopes for continued democratization. In the weeks following the coup, huge numbers of people took to the streets for mass protests. The military responded with deadly violence and imposed a campaign of terror, raiding homes and arresting anyone suspected of supporting democracy. Since then, Myanmar has descended into chaos affecting the lives of millions of people. 

IMPACT ON NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES 

So, What is the impact of the conflict in the neighboring region? India, China, Bangladesh, Thailand, and Laos share borders with Myanmar. Any spillover of violence could impact these countries directly. For instance, India faces security concerns along its northeastern border due to ethnic insurgencies in Myanmar. China has economic interests and infrastructure projects in Myanmar. Bangladesh deals with refugee flows, especially from the persecuted Rohingya minority. Thailand relies on Myanmar for trade and energy links. Myanmar also possesses valuable natural resources, including jade, timber, and minerals. Control over these resources influences regional dynamics and attracts international attention.

INTERNATIONAL RESPONSE

Major powers like the United States, China, and India vie for influence in Myanmar. The country’s alignment affects broader geopolitical balances. China’s Belt and Road Initiative and India’s Act East Policy intersect in Myanmar. Trade routes, energy pipelines, and investment opportunities link neighboring nations. Economic disruptions in Myanmar reverberate across borders. However, the international response to the conflict has been a patchwork of condemnation and inaction. A recent open meeting of the UN Security Council—the first since 2019—highlighted the spiraling human rights catastrophe, yet global powers remain divided on intervention. The foreign ministers of ASEAN expressed deep concern and urged all parties for an immediate cessation of violence in Myanmar.

WHAT IS INDIA'S STAND?

India has taken a cautious approach, balancing its strategic interests with humanitarian concerns. Unlike Western countries that imposed sanctions, India maintained diplomatic channels with Myanmar’s military junta. Why? Because Myanmar is a crucial part of India’s Act East Policy—a strategy to enhance connectivity and trade with Southeast Asia. Moreover, Myanmar’s proximity to China raises concerns for New Delhi, challenging India’s influence in the Indian Ocean. China is Myanmar’s major trading partner, investing billions in infrastructure projects. The China-Myanmar Economic Corridor under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a game-changer. But why should India care? Well, China’s deepening footprint in Myanmar poses a strategic challenge. They’re building a listening post on Myanmar’s Great Coco Island, just 55 km north of India’s Andaman and Nicobar Islands. That’s our backyard!

SECURITY CONCERNS AND STRATEGIC INTERESTS

India shares a long border with Myanmar, making it vulnerable. The instability threatens India’s Northeast—a region already tense due to ethnic and political issues. Cross-border smuggling, arms trafficking, and illegal immigration are real concerns. India’s Northeast acts as a buffer zone between Myanmar and China. We can’t afford instability. So India started to fence the entire 1,643-kilometer border with Myanmar, disrupting age-old connections and raising questions about the future of cross-border communities. 

India’s ambitious projects—like the India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway and the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project—are at risk and Our Act East dreams hinge on stability in Myanmar. 

CONCLUSION

To sum up, Myanmar’s crisis affects not only its own country but also its neighbors and the whole region. This situation changes the balance of power in Southeast Asia and the world. The way this crisis is handled will show how much the world values peace, stability, and human rights. The latest update is the Myanmar Army has lost more ground than at any time in its history, and the military government appears to be in a serious crisis that could signal its potential collapse.

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